Avoca

Tomorrow, October 19, 2024Flat1m1f

Verdict

CHEVALIER DU FAU (7) is resuming from a spell and usually comes to hand quickly. He is set to carry 51kg after a 4kg claim and likes to race near the speed. A recent trial will have him ready to run a big race. The markets could be your best guide to his chances but we think he has a great chance of taking out the Avoca Cup this year. SAMURAI STAR (4) was a beaten favourite last start after settling back further than was expected off a wide gate. He will race a lot handier to the pace this time from a superior draw and should be right in the finish this time. Follow your money. ALMONTI (3) has finished third twice since a good win at Geelong before that. He has more upside than most in this and looks well-placed to figure in the top 3 again. MISS BARILOCHE (6) cannot be faulted for her consistency and will make full use of the pole position. She drops 5.5kg from her last run and has to be respected. Each-way.

Chevalier Du Fau
Samurai Star
Almonti

Win Only

4. Samurai Star
J: SARAH FIELDT: MITCHELL FREEDMAN
F: 01336
Price History:
2.63
Age:
5
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
64
Days Since Last Run:
11
Verdict
Useful gelding. Last start got back early 6th of 11 at Wangaratta Bm64 on October 8 over 2000m, 4 len behind Following Sea carrying 60.5kg at $4. The run before that 3rd of 10 at Swan Hill Bm64 on September 24 over 1600m, 1.4 len behind Boondocks carrying 60.5kg at $4. Rates highly. Rates highly here and expected to do much better.
3. Almonti
J: NEIL FARLEYT: HENRY DWYER
F: 78133
Price History:
4.50
Age:
5
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
64
Days Since Last Run:
29
Verdict
Dual acceptor. Useful type. Comes off a 29 day let-up. At the latest run 3rd of 14 at Ballarat Bm64 on September 20 over 2000m, on a slow track; 1.5 len behind Queen Takes King with 60kg at $7.50. The race before that 3rd in a small field at Geelong 0 - 64 on September 13 over 1755m, 1.5 len behind My Roca Fella carrying 60kg at $5. Has the right credentials.
6. Miss Bariloche
J: TOM MADDENT: ANDREW BOBBIN
F: 43132
Price History:
6.00
Age:
5
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
63
Days Since Last Run:
16
Verdict
Going well. Last start 2nd of 11 at Ballarat Bm58 on October 3 over 1600m, 0.8 len behind Forty Times carrying 60.5kg at $3.50. Before that ran on from midfield; 3rd of 11 at Hamilton Bm58 on September 16 over 1400m, in the wet; 1.0 len behind State Of Maine carrying 60.5kg at $5. Wasn’t too far off the mark last time. Sure to be thereabouts.
8. Any Luck
J: KATE WALTERST: WAYNE WALTERS
F: 22522
Price History:
7.00
Age:
5
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
61
Days Since Last Run:
10
Verdict
At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Mt Gambier Bm70 on October 9 over 2065m, slow going 1.3 len behind Bellakai with 55.5kg at $2.10. The run before that made some head-way from midfield; 2nd of 15 at Mt Gambier Bm62 on September 22 over 1550m, on a wet track; 2 len behind Unamerican carrying 56.5kg at $2.80. Thereabouts last start but looks tested this time.
2. Play On Words
J: CHRISTOPHER PANGT: R G SYMONS
F: 69171
Price History:
8.00
Age:
7
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
65
Days Since Last Run:
7
Verdict
At the latest run won by a nose at Manangatang Bm64 October 12 over 1550m defeating Final Chance with 56kg at $4.50. The race before that 7th of 12 at Murtoa Bm64 on October 5 over 1600m, 6 len behind Cruz Missile with 56kg at $19. Can't tip with much confidence.
7. Chevalier Du Fau
J: ZOE WALLERT: LUCINDA BOYD
F: 0776x
Price History:
9.50
Age:
5
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
62
Days Since Last Run:
87
Verdict
Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation sixth of 9 at Sandown-Hillside Bm70 July 24 over 2400m, soft track; 8 len behind Brilliant Venture with 57kg at $19. First up last campaign second last of 13 at Swan Hill Sw H Cup June 9 over 1600m, 11 len behind Munhamek with 54kg at $67. Should give a great sight.
5. Whozyadeeler
J: JESSICA EATONT: MATTHEW ENRIGHT
F: 51809
Price History:
23.00
Age:
8
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
64
Days Since Last Run:
14
Verdict
Useful type. Last start 9th of 11 at Murtoa Murtoa Cup on October 5 over 2050m, 7 len behind Station One with 54kg at $51. The run before that 12th of 14 at Ballarat Bm64 on September 20 over 2000m, on a slow track; 7 len behind Queen Takes King with 61kg at $41. Major player.
9. Boss Coni
J: JORDYN WEATHERLEYT: DANE SMITH
F: x3884
Price History:
34.00
Age:
12
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
54
Days Since Last Run:
7
Verdict
Last start 4th of 9 at Manangatang Mtng Cup on October 12 over 2000m, 4 len behind You Betcha Woo with 52kg at $51. The start before that 8th of 12 at Coleraine 0 - 58 on September 27 over 1600m, 3.5 len behind Vampire Miss carrying 58kg at $6. Prefer to see him back in form.
10. There For You
J: TAYLA CHILDST: DANE SMITH
F: 9790x
Price History:
67.00
Age:
9
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
45
Days Since Last Run:
321
Verdict
First-up. Finished off last preparation 11th of 13 at Warrnambool Jericho Cup December 3 over 4600m, 35 len behind Nassak Diamond carrying 65kg at $201. First up last campaign seventh of 11 at Casterton 0 - 58 August 5 2023 over 1400m, soft track; 3 len behind Loose Lip Lloyd with 54kg at $81. Plenty of more attractive propositions in this race.

Non-Runners

1. Unfair Dismissal
J: CHRISTINE PULST: DAVID NOONAN
F: 05198
Price History:
-
Age:
9
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
68
Days Since Last Run:
1
Verdict
At the latest run failed to make an impression; second last of 10 at Mornington Cg&E Bm70 on September 29 over 1600m, 6 len behind Bulawayo carrying 59kg at $11. The run before that won by 0.8 len at Warrnambool Bm64 September 23 over 1700m in soft going defeating Infinity Imperial carrying 60kg at $9. Each way value.

Avoca

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